Prediction Market Awards

Grow your influence.
Predict what comes next. Get scored.

✓ No cost✓ No fees✓ No trading✓ No money at stake

Made for creators, experts and anyone who can predict what comes next. Making a prediction takes about 30 seconds.

HERE IS WHAT YOU GET
SAMPLE CARD · LOCKED IN Illustrative · not live data

I’ve locked in my prediction: [film] opens above $50 million.

Prediction locked in[date, time]
Answer comes in[date]
Your accuracy score[after the answer]

Your number stays hidden until the deadline. Then you can post your card.

AFTER THE DEADLINE · NUMBER REVEALED
I’m 75% sure [film] opens above $50 million.
Sample only. Your score arrives after the answer.
Explore markets & categories

Predict what is in the news, and what is in your world.

From the next election to the next film opening.

World & Politics

Elections, policy, world events and the economy.

Elections · Politics & Policy · World Affairs · Economy & Cost of Living

Pop Culture

Film, music, TV, awards, creators and live events.

Movies & Box Office · Music & Charts · TV & Streaming · Awards & Ceremonies · Reality TV · and more

Travel & Leisure

Airlines, hotels, cruises, parks and destinations.

Airlines & Airports · Hotels & Resorts · Cruises · Theme Parks · Destinations & Tourism · and more

Tech & Business

AI, companies, shopping, games and digital assets.

Digital Tech & AI · Business & Finance · E-Commerce & Consumer Products · Gaming & Esports · Crypto & Digital Assets

Lifestyle

Fashion, food, art and wellness.

Fashion & Beauty · Food & Wine · Arts & Culture · Health & Wellness

Science & Climate

Discovery, weather and the planet.

Science & Innovation · Climate & Weather · Impact & Sustainability

Sports

Leagues, tournaments, awards and records, by official results.

Football · Basketball · Soccer · Tennis, Golf & Racing

How it works.

1

Pick a market.

Choose a question from a market you know.

2

Make a prediction.

Slide to how likely you think it is, from 1% to 99%.

3

Wait for the deadline.

Every question has one deadline for everyone.

4

See how you did.

When the answer is in, you get a score. The closer you were, the better.

Influence and prediction

Build a public record of accurate predictions.

Predicting the future is a key to having a successful present.

Proof of when you called it

Our own clock records the time of every prediction, before the answer is known, so you can show when you made it. Over time you build a record you can share.

A card to share

Every prediction makes a card for your feed. Post it when you lock in, then add your number after the deadline: “I predicted this at 80%.”

The spotlight when you win

The best predictions on each question are announced by name. Over the quarter, the sharpest records compete for Best Track Record, Prediction of the Quarter and Rising Predictor.

Find partners

Sponsors and agencies are welcome partners for the creators and experts who take part. For sponsors and agencies →

Open for predictions.

Sample events and prediction counts, made up for the mockup.

ElectionsEDITORS' SET
🗳️
Will Democrats win control of the US House in the Nov 3 midterms?
Answer checked at: Associated Press race calls
80 predictions · closes Nov 2Predict
Economy & Cost of LivingEDITORS' SET
💵
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting?
Answer checked at: Federal Reserve statement
191 predictions · closes Dec 8Predict
Movies & Box OfficeEDITORS' SET
🎬
Will the #1 film on the Dec 18 to 20 weekend gross over $90 million in the US?
Answer checked at: Box Office Mojo weekend chart
228 predictions · closes Dec 17Predict
Creators & Platforms
🎥
Will TikTok announce a new creator payout program before Dec 31?
Answer checked at: TikTok newsroom
413 predictions · closes Dec 30Predict
Airlines & AirportsEDITORS' SET
✈️
Will TSA screen more than 3.2 million travelers on a single day from Nov 20 to Dec 1?
Answer checked at: TSA checkpoint travel numbers
524 predictions · closes Nov 19Predict
Digital Tech & AIEDITORS' SET
🤖
Will OpenAI release a model named GPT-6 before Jan 1, 2027?
Answer checked at: OpenAI release notes
186 predictions · closes Dec 30Predict

See all markets and events →